Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.7%
Sociedad
24.1%
Draw
18.2%
Deportivo Alavés
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Sociedad
vs
0.86
Deportivo Alavés
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).