Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.2%
Barnet
24.6%
Draw
17.2%
Shrewsbury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Barnet
vs
0.69
Shrewsbury
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).