Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.6%
Spennymoor Town
13.9%
Draw
3.5%
Morpeth Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Spennymoor Town
vs
0.26
Morpeth Town
Markets
BTTS20.5%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
20.6%
1-0
18.9%
3-0
15.1%
0-0
8.3%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
1-1
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
5-0
3.7%
0-1
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).