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02 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Radomiak Radom
22.3%
Draw
33.5%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Radomiak Radom

vs
1.80

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS73.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.1%
Over 3.554.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
1-0
3.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).