Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Salernitana
35.5%
Draw
32.9%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Salernitana
vs
0.91
Livorno
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.555.2%
Over 2.527.1%
Over 3.511.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.8%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).