Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Reading
29.2%
Draw
32.1%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Reading
vs
1.15
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).