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AHT: 10CSV

22 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Genclerbirligi
25.4%
Draw
60.1%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Genclerbirligi

vs
2.06

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).