Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Ajaccio
27.3%
Draw
54.5%
Nantes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Ajaccio
vs
1.33
Nantes
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.5%
0-0
13.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).