Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.5%
Estoril
14.8%
Draw
13.7%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.82
Estoril
vs
1.19
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS65.1%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.576.2%
Over 3.556.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).