Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.9%
Frosinone
19.2%
Draw
68.9%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Frosinone
vs
2.04
Milan
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.1%
1-1
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).