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16 Feb 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
Cremonese
25.4%
Draw
19.4%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Cremonese

vs
0.98

Trapani

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).