Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.0%
Bradford
22.0%
Draw
17.0%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Bradford
vs
0.81
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).