Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Sp Gijon
22.8%
Draw
20.8%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Sp Gijon
vs
1.00
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).