Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Cesena
26.9%
Draw
51.1%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Cesena
vs
1.64
Parma
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).