Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.3%
Estoril
16.2%
Draw
15.5%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Estoril
vs
1.18
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
1-1
6.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).