Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Eibar
28.7%
Draw
28.9%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Eibar
vs
0.96
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).