Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Mirandes
25.2%
Draw
39.1%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Mirandes
vs
1.42
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).