Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.4%
Crawley Town
19.1%
Draw
58.5%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Crawley Town
vs
2.13
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS61.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
5.0%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).