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AHT: 01CSV

30 Nov 2025 · 16:15

Lens

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.8%
Angers
25.5%
Draw
58.8%
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Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Angers

vs
1.45

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Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.5%
Over 3.515.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.4%
0-2
13.6%
0-0
12.3%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
2.4%
0-4
2.4%
2-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).