Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.9%
FC Koln
14.6%
Draw
9.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
FC Koln
vs
1.01
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
6.0%
4-0
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
5-1
3.5%
5-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).