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14 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.6%
Wrexham
18.9%
Draw
9.5%
Cambridge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Wrexham

vs
0.48

Cambridge

Markets

BTTS31.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-0
10.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.9%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).