Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Troyes
25.7%
Draw
45.2%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Troyes
vs
1.32
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).