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DHT: 00CSV

29 Mar 2025 · 14:00

Empoli

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.2%
Como
15.9%
Draw
7.8%
Empoli

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Como

vs
0.57

Empoli

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.0%
1-0
13.3%
3-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
2.9%
2-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).