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27 Feb 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Kilmarnock
25.3%
Draw
33.3%
Dundee United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Kilmarnock

vs
1.44

Dundee United

Markets

BTTS62.2%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).