Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Nott'm Forest
30.0%
Draw
25.2%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.94
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).