Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
St Johnstone
26.6%
Draw
57.4%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
St Johnstone
vs
1.58
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).