Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Arbroath
31.4%
Draw
20.8%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Arbroath
vs
0.84
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).