Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Santa Clara
29.7%
Draw
20.6%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Santa Clara
vs
0.79
Estrela
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).