Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.1%
Sassuolo
24.5%
Draw
50.4%
Napoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sassuolo
vs
1.61
Napoli
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).