Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Sutton
23.0%
Draw
21.6%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Sutton
vs
1.21
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).