Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Barnet
28.5%
Draw
37.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Barnet
vs
1.33
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).