Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
Pisa
28.7%
Draw
19.9%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Pisa
vs
0.84
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).