⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 11

26 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
74.9%
Strasbourg
13.8%
Draw
11.3%
Saint-Étienne

Expected Goals (xG)

2.83

Strasbourg

vs
1.03

Saint-Étienne

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.0%
1-0
6.4%
1-1
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
4-0
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
5-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).