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04 May 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Kolos Kovalivka
35.6%
Draw
22.8%
Vorskla

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Kolos Kovalivka

vs
0.63

Vorskla

Markets

BTTS29.0%
Over 0.579.1%
Over 1.547.3%
Over 2.521.2%
Over 3.57.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
20.9%
1-0
19.3%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
0-3
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).