Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
St Mirren
26.6%
Draw
28.5%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
St Mirren
vs
1.17
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).