Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Catanzaro
25.0%
Draw
19.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Catanzaro
vs
1.00
Ternana
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).