Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
AVS
21.9%
Draw
58.7%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
AVS
vs
1.80
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).