Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Bari
23.0%
Draw
61.0%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Bari
vs
2.00
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
1-0
4.0%
0-4
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).