Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Farense
32.3%
Draw
18.9%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Farense
vs
0.65
Boavista
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.556.4%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
0-0
16.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).