Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.5%
Portsmouth
18.6%
Draw
15.9%
Leyton Orient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Portsmouth
vs
0.88
Leyton Orient
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).