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AHT: 21CSV

05 Feb 2017

Celtic

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
St Johnstone
19.2%
Draw
69.0%
Celtic

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

St Johnstone

vs
2.26

Celtic

Markets

BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
0-3
8.7%
1-3
7.3%
0-0
5.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).