Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Reading
27.4%
Draw
43.3%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Reading
vs
1.49
QPR
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).