Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Sevilla
26.3%
Draw
33.9%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Sevilla
vs
1.28
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).