Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Leganes
27.4%
Draw
43.8%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Leganes
vs
1.39
Celta
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).