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04 Apr 2026 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.2%
Katowice
30.0%
Draw
19.8%
Wisła Płock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Katowice

vs
0.76

Wisła Płock

Markets

BTTS40.9%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).