Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Barnet
18.3%
Draw
9.4%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Barnet
vs
0.73
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
1-0
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).