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HHT: 20CSV

24 Feb 2024 · 14:30

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.8%
M'gladbach
24.6%
Draw
19.6%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.81

M'gladbach

vs
0.99

Bochum

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).