Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.1%
Ascoli
30.3%
Draw
17.6%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Ascoli
vs
0.69
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).