Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Swansea
29.5%
Draw
27.4%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Swansea
vs
1.03
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).