Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Paris FC
26.1%
Draw
29.2%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Paris FC
vs
0.97
Troyes
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).